Matthew R. Simmons, chairman and
CEO of
Simmons & Company International, is a prominent oil-industry insider and one of the world's leading experts on the topic of
peak oil. Simmons was motivated by the
1973 energy crisis to create an investment banking firm catering to oil companies. In his previous capacity, he served as energy adviser to U.S. President
George W. Bush.
Matthew Simmons believes the
Club of Rome predictions were correct. Simmons is an advisor to the
Oil Depletion Analysis Centre. He is a member of the
National Petroleum Council and the
Council on Foreign Relations. He believes a careful assessment of Saudi Arabian oil reserves is the most significant issue shaping
petroleum politics.
Simmons is the author of the book
Twilight in the Desert: The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the World Economy. His examination of oil reserve decline rates helped raise awareness of the unreliability of Middle East oil reserves as the published reports have never been
verified.
Saudi Arabian oil reserves
In his book, Simmons argues that production from
Saudi Arabia, and especially from
Ghawar, the world's largest oil field, will peak in the near future, if it hasn't done so already. Simmons bases his case on hundreds of internal documents from
Saudi Aramco, professional journals, and other authoritative sources.
However, Saudi Aramco officials, such as
Nansen Saleri, contend that Saudi Arabia is fully capable not only of keeping up current production, but of expanding it significantly, even though it hadn't done so by mid-
2007 despite near-record oil prices. Others have claimed that Simmons lacks the type of training that would allow him to read
oil industry technical reports. Saudia Arabia and some other oil exporting nations consider reserve analysis to be a
national secret.
In short, opinions vary as to the correctness of the interpretations of data and engineering concepts he used to extrapolate his estimates of remaining
oil reserves, with many independent experts, such as
Colin Campbell,
Kenneth Deffeyes, and even some oil companies
(External Link
) agreeing with Simmons, while many in the
USGS and the Saudi government dispute his views.
In August 2005, Simmons bet
John Tierney and Rita Simon, the widow of
Julian Simon, $2500 each that the
price of oil averaged over the entire calendar year of 2010 will be at least $200 per barrel (in 2005 dollars).
Family
Simmons has a wife and five daughters. The eldest graduated from Vanderbilt University '01. The second graduated from Connecticut College '04. The third graduated from Colorado College '06. The fourth graduated from Texas Christian University '07. The youngest attends Duke University and will graduate '09.
Appearances
Simmons has made contributions to the films
The End of Suburbia and .
External results
Click here for more details on Matthew Simmons
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